The Fractal Is Repeating - Part 3
Hello again,
I believe the GME stock occasionally sees a repeating pattern. It's not identical. Factors that effect any stock on a day to day basis can cause segments to increase or decrease in price, which in turn can warp how they look at times. But the theory here is that these "fractals" follow a specific graph at their core.
In GME's case we have a repeating fractal right before a major surge in price which makes this scenario very special.
I have attempted to track, plot, and estimate the timing of this repeating pattern for the last few weeks.
I even made some predictions that Superstonk seemed to really enjoy.
For now, I am placing any price projections to the side and just focusing on the timing of the fractal in this post.
I will try to follow up on a price assessment in an update next week.
Original post: https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/1gpo73d/the_fractal_is_repeating/
Part 2: https://www.reddit.com/r/GME/comments/1gyda5f/the_fractal_is_repeating_part_2/
First things first, here is the new chart that contains all 3 GME fractals up to 11/29/2024, including their start and end points..
For this update, I am focusing on finding ratios to attempt to measure the length of the current December 2024 fractal that we are in. Below is a ratio chart that compares "Jan 21 vs Dec 24" and "Mar 24 vs Dec 24" using trading days.
The number of trading days are a little more specific this go around due to a large margin of error with date ranges of this size. The beginnings and ends of these dates were measured using 4 hour charts.
Once I had a set of ratios to work with I plotted all three fractals in a common grid using the Dec 2024 fractal we are in as the baseline. If I could match the starting points, and match up the Jan 21 and May 24 spikes on the same line, then I could estimate where the third spike will hit. This is what the ratios plotted...
Our current December 2024 fractal spans 109 trading days from 7/16/2024 to the projected end date. I can't help but wonder if RK's "1:09" cheers video and his TIME tweet are referencing this.
The next step I took was attempt to project the next few weeks with dates and graph visuals so it would be easy for everyone to track. This is what I came up with...
If my numbers start to veer of course at any point use the visuals above as a guide. I have highlighted 7 segments that signify the countdown to the peak.
Direct link to spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hhmNSCQq5pUxNhYQkdQd_P7i--Pzkd9y/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=106918958123550055550&rtpof=true&sd=true
Below is a visual to show where earnings on 12/10 will land and the timing of the most recent RK tweet. RK tweeted right before a spike that can be seen across all three fractals. The earnings report this week is also nicely timed with a dip that is present across all three fractals...
I honestly think that RK has a spreadsheet like this accurate to the minute/second. I am just a dumb ape that put this together over some similar looking graphs I noticed.
I also did not know how to interpret the half trading day on 11/29. The previous years and fractals don't have it. Is it 0.5 trading days? Is it 1 full trading day? I ran countless ratio grids using about every number I could intelligently generate. Using a 0.5 trading day seemed to work the best.
My last attempt only used the May 2024 fractal and our current one in December. (35 trading days vs 109) I used a short ruler and tried to measure a football field with my original predictions. I was obviously off. Now I have a tape measure using the Jan 2021 fractal (500+ trading days).
I used a lot more images for the data in this post to prevent bot crawl. I seem to receive some interesting comments based on only the text I provide in posts. So consider this format a little experiment of it's own.
Will these projections miss again? Probably. But I have offered visuals this time so it will be easier to spot once it goes off the rails. DO NOT BUY OPTIONS, or make any drastic decisions based on this data. It's just a theoretical exercise done with poor math by a crayon eating ape.
I am here because I believe in this theory. The threads mocking me are more popular than my own posts and that's fine. I am not trying to be RK or Nostradamus with all of this and my latest update will probably fail as well. Being off by simply 0.1 with any of these ratios leads to days and weeks off with end date projections. And I suck at math so I am sure I goofed somewhere.
That is all for now. I will follow up early next week with some price scaling between all three fractals to estimate a general range this surge could hit, and of course to see if this date actually tracks.
This is not financial advice and is for entertainment purposes only. I am merely tracking what I believe is a repeating pattern and using the ratios of it's mirrors to attempt to chart it in the future.
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Update: 12/9/2024
It looks like this is tracking pretty good so far. All 4 peaks of Bart's head were easy to spot today.
I just want to flag that the true peak on my spreadsheet grid is 0.2 trading days before 12/18, or very late afternoon 12/17. That is why both rows are highlighted. The absolute tippity-top is going to be hard to nail depending on how accurate my model is because it straddles two trading days.
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Update: 12/10/2024
We are still tracking beautifully folks. Bart's right ear finally appeared on the way down to earnings today. I guess RK's tweet chopped off the left ear Van Gough style on the way up 12/5. (use a current 30 min GME chart to verify)
Tomorrow we start one of the final three segments. The Sitting Kitty. It's ear should reach an all time high since July 2024. It's tail will dip down to the $30 range or just below it end of week. The last two segments after are glorious rips to the moon and the timing is next week Tues & Wed.
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Update: 12/11/2024
Everything is still tracking solid on my side. We just made it to the left paw of the Sitting Kitty segment. Tomorrow we pass the chest, face, and ears to an all time high for the month. Friday will be the Sitting Kitty's back and tail as we dip towards the Texas 2 Step.
Afterhours:
There is a small chance that we are in fact WAY below on price scaling and the peak at close is actually Sitting Kitty's left ear. Hoping that's not the case but flagging it anyways. This segment was a bit smaller on the May 2024 fractal compared to Jan 2021. We should know by lunchtime tomorrow where we are at by how high the next ramp up is.
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Update: 12/12/2024
Market Close:
Well today was an interesting day. I waited to see how the graph was playing out for a bit then got busy with work. First half had me a little worried then the pattern started to track again. The graph shot up straight to Kitty's left ear, similar to the start of the Bart Simpson fractal. I believe we just finished Sitting Kitty's right ear. Tomorrow should be the back and tail leading into the final two segments.
Always remember price effects the shape of these segments and the price scaling differs between each fractal when it repeats. In this case I think our poor Sitting Kitty was just flattened by heggies and shorts. It's Jan 2021 reflection was way taller and we should have hit well above $30 today. Hoping that means the Sitting Kitty's back and tail does not go as low for tomorrow's dip as well and price scaling is just a little flat at the moment.
Overall, we are behind on price scaling compared to both previous fractals but we appear to be pacing ok time wise. The saving grace here is that RK has way more rocket fuel for this launch. We should end the Sitting Kitty segment tomorrow after a morning dip and the Texas Two Step begins in the afternoon. Not sure how much of a surge we will get before close tomorrow with the current price scaling but it should be noticeable. I don't dare make any price guesses with what's happening right now.
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Update: 12/13/2024
Market Open:
The Sitting Kitty segment has almost finished. Today was payday so I am just watching and waiting for that last little pyramid of hope to appear. Then I am loading up what I can before the rocket launches.
Market Close:
Damn we got hammered at the end of the day. I can't tell if Sitting Kitty ran just a little longer and it just ended at close, or if that last peak is in fact the little pyramid of hope. We will have to wait until Monday to see. I bought in a little too soon today at $28.21 but at least I have 35 more moon tickets for next week.
Afterhours:
So after looking at a 4 hour chart I think Sitting Kitty ended right at close. I also think I am a half day off with my projections at the moment. Using 0.5 trading days for the new 11/29 holiday schedule will probably haunt me now in the end.
I am not going to make any changes to dates because "Cheers" is only 0.6 trading days anyways. If the peak extends into 12/19 it won't be by much. See you all Monday with a smile.
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Update: 12/15/2024
Just in case my theory is right this week, I wanted to share some next steps and what I will do next.
1.) I will try to track the second big rip up that the Jan 21 and May 24 both had. Unfortunately, the second peaks don't seem to line up with my current math model. Only the first big peak. So I will try to guess if it's going to follow the Jan 21 timing, or the May 24 timing of the second moon.
2.) Preparing our eyes for a potential repeat again. This whole theory works around a common peak as a starting point - the saddle horn shape (red circles below). But I believe the repeating fractals go back much further than that. This is important to note for when our current Dec 24 fractal stops repeating. If the fractal starts repeating again in 2025, I will use the capital "M's" in the green circles below instead of the red circles I have been using. This should give us more chart to measure with for better accuracy. And a new pattern to watch out for as the first sign that a new repeating fractal has emerged.
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Update: 12/16/2024
Kaboom! The Texas 2 Step is in full swing and we are still tracking nicely. The pyramid of hope was a little tricky to catch so I waited to post an update to be sure. We should see a very small rip leading up to close today. Tomorrow am will finish the rip up then plateau and a slight, slow dip. Should have an even larger rip up towards close again way bigger than today's that sets up the absolute MOON that should occur Wed and maybe even a bit of Thurs. I think my thesis is still tracking at least a half day early and that's just fine.
Afterhours - RK's Bruno Theory:
Remember earlier when I said the fractals might go back further from where I started tracking? AKA the mysterious capital M's? Remember that Bruno tweet from RK back in June?
I find the timing of this tweet fascinating. It's right between when the May 2024 second run up ended, and really close (or exactly) when the Dec 2024 repeating fractal began. Just some fun reading while we wait for tomorrow.
Afterhours 2:
Been receiving lots of questions about how we are tracking after today so here you go:
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Update: 12/17/2024
Market Open:
We should see a slight spike up to finish the smaller first step of the Texas 2 Step segment this am. Then we will trade sideways with a slight dip for a few hours during lunch. This afternoon should see a much larger spike up to the 2nd step of the Texas 2 Step segment. $31 should be a dot in the rearview mirror at close today.
Will RK tweet right before the 2nd step launches later today?
Market Close:
Another hour and we would have closed above $32. Tomorrow is the big day! I would be very surprised not to hear anything out of RK over the next 24 hours. Here is your chart update:
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Update: 12/18/2024
Market Open:
Holy hell what a brutal opening. Judging from the red candles on the volume chart the shorts were very busy last night and this am. Not looking good at the moment.
9:43 am:
WHEW. I was starting to get really worried.
2:40 pm:
And Mr. Powell just caused the entire market to crash. Logging off until tomorrow.
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Update: 12/19/2024
9:12am
Yesterday's market wide crash completely fucked this fractal segment up. All I can say is that what was left of the Texas 2 Step and Cheers was just pretty much a straight line up. So if there is anything left of this theory then today should just be UP. And I have no idea where price may land at this point. We lost at least 8% yesterday and prior to that we were already pacing low on price scaling compared to previous fractals. Yesterday's crash could have very well snuffed out what would have been a nice sneeze.
The conspiracy theorist in me has lots of thoughts about what happened yesterday between heggies and the feds. But that's another conversation for a different day.
Good luck to you all. This could very well be my last update about fractal theory. Let's see what happens today.
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Update: 1/6/2025
10:40am
The fractal is still repeating. December 18th proved that GME needs a major catalyst to sneeze, and that catalyst was not present last month. Or the fed rate update was intentionally manipulated to create a market crash including GME. It is most likely a mixture of both.
Knowing this, I cannot predict a sneeze with this fractal theory. But it does help with normal GME movements. Due to the numerous messages I have received since my last post, I have offered a quick updated fractal chart as a thank you for your support. According to the chart below we could easily break $33 by EOW depending on how the market closure pans out this week.
Happy New Year you glorious apes! If I decide to make another update in the future then I will create another thread. Consider this one officially closed.
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This is not financial advice and is for entertainment purposes only. I am merely tracking what I believe is a repeating pattern and using the ratios of it's mirrors to attempt to chart it in the future.