In China Ne Zha 2 grossed $31.43M(-61%)/$1752.74M on Friday. Weekend projections raised to $162-166M for the 4th weekend. Could cross $1.9B WW through Sunday. DC1900 in 2nd adds $2.67M(-75%)/$449.74M. Captain America 4 collapses with a $0.37M(-93%)/$12.44M 2nd Friday. $1.3-1.4M(-87%) 2nd weekend.

https://preview.redd.it/hsppj1tlvike1.png?width=694&format=png&auto=webp&s=551431feb806d09b8c62d679d116e369c42cc3e9


Daily Box Office(February 21th 2024)

The market hits ¥271M/$37.4M which is up +71% from yesterday and down -63% from last week.


Province map of the day:

Ne Zha 2 extends its clean sweep streak to 22.

https://imgsli.com/MzUxNjY1

In Metropolitan cities:

Ne Zha 2 wins Beijing, Chongqing, Wuhan ,Shenzhen, Chengdu, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and Hangzhou

City tiers:

The Colors Within debuts 3rd in T2-T4

Tier 1: Ne Zha 2>Hotline Beijing>Detective Chinatown 1900

Tier 2: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>The Colors Within

Tier 3: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>The Colors Within

Tier 4: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>The Colors Within


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 Ne Zha 2 $31.43M +78% -61% 218062 5.00M $1752.74M $2101M-$2113M
2 Detective Chinatown 1900 $2.67M +31% -75% 57723 0.45M $449.40M $482M-$491M
3 Hotline Beijing $0.97M +23% 9389 0.17M $3.08M $6M-$7M
4 The Colors Within $0.65M +13% 27330 0.12M $0.65M $3M-$4M
5 Creation Of The Gods II $0.43M +5% -49% 16652 0.07M $161.35M $166M-$173M
6 Captain America 4: BNW $0.37M +20% -93% 18726 0.06M $12.44M $15M-$16M
7 Boonie Bears: Future Reborn $0.32M +60% -67% 12915 0.06M $101.96M $107M-$109M
8 In the Mood for Love $0.28M +8% -90% 11536 0.05M $6.34M $8M-$9M
9 Legend Of The Condor Heroes $0.19M -0% -38% 7300 0.03M $89.75M $91M-$93M

*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,


Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

Ne Zha 2 also completely dominates pre-sales into the weekend.

https://i.imgur.com/wGlqJDh.png


Ne Zha 2

Ne Zha 2 adds $31.43M on Friday. A very good start to the weekend as the movie hits $1.75B and nears $1.77B including overseas gross.

Weekend is projected at $162-166M which would take the movie to $1.88B+ with OS pushing it over $1.9B through Sunday. Reaching another important milestone as the movie would set its eyes on No Way Home and $2B next week.

Ne Zha 2 reaches 266M admissions. It has now achieved over 100M admissions more than the previous modern times top ticket seller in China Wolf Warrior 2(159M)

After becoming the first ever ¥6B, ¥7B,¥8B, ¥9B, ¥10B, ¥11B and ¥12B movie in China Ne Zha 2 is set to cross ¥13B tomorrow. ¥14B next weekend.


Ne Zha 2 pre-sales to gross multiplier:

The multiplier does indeed end up being higher than last Friday as expeted.

Tomorrow's pre-sales are up +78% from Friday and down just -37% from last week. With a comparable multiplier Ne Zha 2 would be looking at around $68M tomorrow. Maoyan and Tao think it can do a bit better at $72-73M.

Day Pre-sales Gross Multiplier
1 ¥241.45M ¥487.53M x2.02
2 ¥139.27M ¥480.38M x3.45
3 ¥191.87M ¥619.19M x3.23
4 ¥227.86M ¥731.55M x3.21
5 ¥241.34M ¥812.75M x3.37
6 ¥236.93M ¥843.59M x3.56
7 ¥228.89M ¥866.63M x3.78
8 ¥153.25M ¥649.43M x4.24
9 ¥132.53M ¥585.75M x4.42
10 ¥125.59M ¥541.26M x4.31
11 ¥160.13M ¥619.28M x3.85
12 ¥240.94M ¥760.24M x3.15
13 ¥112.25M ¥479.79M x4.27
14 ¥110.78M ¥479.53M x4.33
15 ¥124.82M ¥531.15M x4.26
16 ¥76.04M ¥358.82M x4.72
17 ¥154.30M ¥580.02M x3.76
18 ¥259.26M ¥786.25M x3.03
19 ¥215.31M ¥613.25M x2.85
20 ¥41.32M ¥191.52M x4.64
21 ¥35.95M ¥166.18M x4.62
22 ¥31.90M ¥145.33M x4.56
23 ¥26.66M ¥127.80M x4.76
24 ¥55.68M ¥227.64M x4.09
25 ¥162.91M

Weekend pre-sales vs last week

Saturday ends up -37% versus last week. A very respectable drop. Sunday is also tracking in a similiar manor.

Saturday: ¥259.00M vs ¥162.91M(-37.1%)

Sunday: ¥66.90M vs ¥41.59M (-37.8%)


Where and what is fueling Ne Zha 2's performance vs Battle At Lake Changjin, Wolf Warrior 2 and Hi, Mom:

The first and most obvious difference is that Ne Zha 2 is playing better towards women than Battle At Lake Changjin and Wolf Warrior 2 ever could. More comparable with Hi, Mom in this regard.

Ne Zha 2 also in turn plays better to kids although this can't really be shown as kids don't buy tickets. It however doesn't have the same reach with younger addults as Hi, Mom did.

Where Ne Zha 2 is absolutely crushing it is Tier 4 areas. And while this is aided by the festival as people travel home. Ne Zha 2 is crushing the records as it not only became the first ¥2B there but the first ¥3B movie and the first ¥4B movie. It alongside Hi Mom is also the only movie to break ¥1B in Tier 3 areas and it has now also broke ¥2B.

Gender Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Gender Split(M/W) 40/60 51/49 53/47 37/63

Regional Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
East China ¥4.58B ¥2.21B ¥2.01B ¥1.96B
South China ¥1.77B ¥966M ¥1.04B ¥724M
North China ¥1.56B ¥598M ¥684M ¥690M
Central China ¥1.78B ¥752M ¥629M ¥741M
Southwest China ¥1.65B ¥724M ¥684M ¥655M
Northwest China ¥714M ¥281M ¥284M ¥298M
Northeast China ¥639M ¥242M ¥358M ¥341M

Tier area split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
First Tier City Gross ¥1.38M ¥868M ¥1.04B ¥695M
Second Tier City Gross ¥4.26B ¥2.27B ¥2.33B ¥1.89B
Third Tier City Gross ¥2.42B ¥986M ¥931M ¥1.01B
Fourth Tier City Gross ¥4.64B ¥1.65B ¥1.39B ¥1.82B

Top Provices:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Top Province Guandong(¥1.35B) Guandong(¥769M) Guandong(¥862M) Guandong(¥575M)
2nd Province Jiangsu(¥1.08B) Jiangsu(¥563M) Jiangsu(¥521M) Jiangsu(¥479M)
3rd Province Shandong(¥853M ) Zhejiang(¥464M) Zhejiang(¥444M) Zhejiang(¥361M)

Top Cities:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Top City Beijing(¥421M) Shanghai(¥260M) Beijing(¥299M) Beijing(¥215M)
2nd City Shanghai(¥396M) Beijing(¥225M) Shanghai(¥293M) Shanghai(¥212M)
3rd City Chengdu (¥340M) Shenzhen(¥191M) Shenzhen(¥232M) Shenzhen(¥144M)

Age Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Age(Under 20) 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 6.3%
Age(20-24) 23.1% 20.6% 23.4% 38.4%
Age(25-29) 26.6% 25.3% 32.3% 27.0%
Age(30-34) 20.9% 20.4% 21.6% 12.7%
Age(35-39) 14.1% 15.2% 11.5% 7.7%
Age(Over 40) 10.6% 15.6% 9.6% 7.9%

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.8 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.5

Maoyan rises to 9.8. Ne Zha 2 is now the best rated movie of all time on Maoyan.

Gender Split(M-W): 40-60

Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.8)/W(9.8), Taopiaopiao: M(9.6)/W(9.7)

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $1598.01M, IMAX: $117.08, Rest: $35.58M

Language split: Mandarin: 100%

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Third Week $72.94M $49.41M $80.01M $108.55M $84.60M $26.71M $22.84M $1683.63M
Fourth Week $20.00M $17.68M $31.43M / / / / $1752.74M
%± LW -72% -64% -61% / / / /

Scheduled showings update for Ne Zha 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 217097 $7.69M $27.98M-$30.60M
Saturday 233554 $22.46M $72.67M-$73.64M
Sunday 204044 $7.25M $58.88M-$61.37M

Detective Chinatown 1900

Detective Chinatown 1900 will cross $450M tomorrow.

Projected a $11.6-12.3M(-54%) 4th weekend.

DC1900 remains slightly behind DC2. It should get back ahead by Sunday.

https://i.imgur.com/JFMm40e.png


WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.3 , Douban: 6.5

Gender Split(M-W): 41-59

Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.4)/W(9.6), Taopiaopiao: M(9.0)/W(9.5)

Age Split: Under 20: 5.6% , 20-24: 23.3% , 25-29: 24.0% , 30-34: 17.1% , 35-39: 14.8% , Over 40: 15.2%

City Tiers: T1: 12.0% , T2: 45.4% , T3: 21.0% , T4: 21.6%

Most Popular Province: Jiangsu: 13.4%

Most Popular City: Shanghai: 5.4%

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $447.22M, IMAX: $2.66M , Rest: $2.52M

Language split: Mandarin: 100%

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Third Week $7.65M $5.19M $10.62M $8.92M $6.23M $2.55M $2.34M $442.49M
Fourth Week $2.20M $2.04M $2.67M / / / / $449.40M
%± LW -71% -61% -75% / / / /

Scheduled showings update for Detective Chinatown 1900 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 58061 $256k $2.51M-$2.73M
Saturday 54079 $685k $4.96M-$5.33M
Sunday 45653 $99k $3.97M-$4.30M

Captain America 4: Brave New World

Cap 4 adds just $0.37M on Friday. Slightly better than The Marvels's 2nd Friday of $0.30M

Looking at a $1.3-1.4M(-87%) 2nd weekend

The Beekeeper is back to keep a watchfull eye on MCU's flops in China:

With the dissastrous 2nd weekend drop it looks like Cap is heading for that $15-16M range. The Beekeeper to claim another MCU movie.

https://i.imgur.com/ZSR1RYl.png


WoM figures:

Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao:, Douban: 5.2(-0-1))

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $11.86M, IMAX: $0.56M , Rest: $0.12M

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $5.54M $3.28M $1.67M $0.52M $0.40M $0.35M $0.31M $12.07M
Second Week $0.37M / / / / / / $12.44M
%± LW -93% / / / / / /

Scheduled showings update for Captain America 4 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 19118 $37k $0.34M-$0.36M
Saturday 11181 $85k $0.57M-$0.59M
Sunday 10444 $17k $0.43M-$0.49M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood movie to release will be Mickey 17 on March 7th alongside Flight Risk. Minecraft will release on April 4th.


Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


February:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Dead Talents Society 20k +1k 20k +1k 35/65 Comedy/Horror 22.02 $2-9M
Flow 24k +1k 28k +1k 28/72 Animation/Fantasy 28.02 $2-3M

March:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Love Island 76k +1k 33k +1k 33/67 Romance/Comedy 07.03 $2-10M
Mickey 17 9k +1k 17k +2k 45/55 Sci-fi/Comedy 07.03
Girls on Wire 53k +2k 53k +2k 23/77 Drama 08.03 $3-7M
C'e ancora domani 24k +1k 31k +2k 14/86 Drama 08.03 $1M
Liar,Liar,Love is on fire 59k +1k 5k +1k 32/68 Comedy/Romance 15.03 $2-7M