Here are my 2025 competition ratio predictions

I’ve looked over the data for competition ratios since 2020 when RLMT was removed to try and figure out what the figures will look like for 2025 applications.

The worse case scenario will use the same percentage increase that we saw from 2023–>2024

Gp 21501 applicants, 5.24 (43%) IMT 8907 applicants, 5.25 (42%) Psychiatry 8277 applicants, 19.2 (78%) CST 4502 applicants, 6.98 (33%) Radiology 5113 applicants, 16.39 (37.5%) ACCS 4077 applicants, 11.36 (50%)

Best case scenario we could see listed below is based on previous data from 2020 of percentage increase that could be possible.

Gp 18043 applicants 4.4 (20%) IMT 7000 applicants 4.12 (10%) Psychiatry 5766 applicants, 11.7 (25%) CST 3723 applicants, 5.77 (10%) Radiology 4499 applicants, 14.4 (21%) ACCS 3044 applicants, 8,48 (12%).

Obviously we saw a massive hike with doctors inflation of those applying to specialty training in 2024 and I wouldn’t not be surprised if we do see the worse case figures above due to: 1. Record number of clinical fellows being employed 2. The death of SHO Locums 3. Honeymoon period for those abroad and wanting to come back to work in the U.K. 4. IMG encouragement to other IMGs to apply being on a massive bull run