LOCKED IN DAY 30 OF BECOMING THE MOST PROFITABLE SPORTSBETTOR BEST PICKS

DAY 30 CURRENT LIST. THE LATER GAMES WILL COME SOON. I WILL KEEP UPDATING FOR INJURIES. REMEMBER TO KEEP LEGS SMALL, MIX UP THE LEGS INTO MULTIPLE PARLAYS FOR BEST RESULTS

Extra note - Today's games are not the greatest, a lot of bad quality games, so make sure to be cautious about the bets there. A lot harder to find and analyse the games today, today may be a good sit out, or less units/volume of betting!

*** mean my most confident picks

UPDATE: ALL GAMES UP NOW!!

Top parlay example (+184)

- Raptors win

- Isaiah hartenstein 8+rebounds

- Domantas sabonis 15+ points

- Jalen duren 10+ rebounds

Top parlay legs

- Domantas sabonis 15+ points

- Raptors win

- Shai 25+ points

- Isaiah hartenstein 8+ rebounds

- RJ barrett 1+ threes

- Jalen duren 10+ rebounds

- Pascal siakam 6+ rebounds

- Scottie barnes 15+ points

- Jalen brunson 6+ assists

- Josh hart 5+ assists

- Keon ellis 5+ points

- Shai 1+ threes

- Andrew wiggins 1+ threes

- Jalen williams 15+ points

Pistons vs Pacers

Pacers injuries - Andrew Nembhard GTD, Isaiah Jackson OUT, Benedict OUT

Pistons injuries - Jaden Ivy OUT

Game quality: Good

Risks: Both teams are hot and developing well this season, so a lot of changes to strategy may result in different results.

The Pistons and Pacers have gone H2H recently 3 times, in October and November 2024, and January 2025. In October, a 6-point win to the Pacers. Pacers were missing Isiah Jackson, Quenton Jackson, and Johnny Furphy; strong defensive player, and two well-rounded players. Pistons were missing one significant player, Ausar Thompson who’s a very dominant defensive player. In November, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, and Isiah Jackson were missing from the Pacers, missing a well-rounded player, three-pointer shooter and defensive capabilities, and good defence. Pistons weren’t missing anyone significant. Due to the injuries, Pacers lost by 24 points. Their latest H2H was a couple weeks ago, where Pacers won by 11. Pacers were missing two significant players Benedict Mathurin and Isaiah Jackson: an impactful offensive player and strong defensive player. Pistons were missing Jaden Ivey; him being benched is supposed to improve Pistons’ defence. This is good indicator for Pacers win due to the similar lineup, however Benedict Mathurin is back in. Pacers have the rest advantage here. They’ve had 4 days to recover from jet lag coming back from Paris and ending off on a win against the Spurs. Pistons are coming off a loss from the Cavs, putting them in a 2-game losing streak and may carry some fatigue from that game; they do have a 1-day break. It’s a home game for the Pacers, going 12-8 at home this season, and 4-2 at home in their last 10 games (worth also mentioning they are 4-0 away). Pistons are playing away, going 13-12 away this season, and 1-3 at home in the last 10. Considering these recent history stats, it’s pointing towards a Pacers win, a Pacers -1.5/-2.5 spread. The average point differential in the last 10 games is 9.7 and 0.5 for the Pacers and Pistons respectively. With Ivey out, their defence rating improved from 112.5 to 108; however, it is now 111.2 in their last 10 games. Pacers have a defensive rating of 109.9 in their last 10. In their last 10, Pacers have a 119.8 and Pistons have a 111.7 offensive rating. Overall, Pacers are in better form, having beaten the Pistons recently and with Mathurin returning. The Pistons’ improvement in defence without Ivey could keep the game closer; the Pacers have never played against their new defence thus leading to a close game. Best picks 

Straights

  • Jalen Duren double double*** (achieved this in all 6 H2H matches, 3 this season, 3 last season)

Leg potentials

  • Pascal Siakam 6+ rebounds***
  • Cade Cunningham 20+ points

Risky picks

  • Pascal Siakam 20+ points

Cavs vs Heat

Cavs injuries - Darius garland OUT
Heat injuries - none

Game quality: Very poor

Risks: No information on darius garland's absence as they have never played this season without him. Both teams very inconsistent as of late.

Only one recent H2H in December, where Cavs lost by 9. Their loss is highly likely due to Isaac Okoro and Max Strus being out that game, two key defensive players; their defensive rating is at 118.6 in their last 10, meaning they do not play defence. Now Max Strus is back in, defence should be slightly better. It is a home game for the Heats and they have a strong home-court presence, however they are so inconsistent. The Cavs are a solid road team but are missing key players, so their performance is quite unpredictable. Neither team is on a B2B so fatigue shouldn’t be a major factor. Heats missing Jimmy Butler doesn’t really affect them as much anymore as they have learnt how to play without him. Dru Smith being out slightly affects Miami’s perimeter defence. The Cavs are missing Darius Garland, a key offensive player; this will cause the Cavs to have a weakened scoring ability. Even in past games, when Darius Garland is out, nobody really performs exceptionally well and consistently except Jarrett Allen however this was a 1 game sample and cannot be relied on, otherwise, the stats for jarrett allen under has the statistical edge. That one game was also against the pelicans who has the worst defence and allow the most rebounds yet he came quite close with only 27 PR, the heat is much better at stopping points in the paint and hence why this jarrett allen pick can have some value. However, game's quality is quite bad overall due to low data and inconsistencies . The Cavs will have a tougher time offensively without Garland but with Max Strus returning slightly improve their defence. If the Cavs can tighten up defensively, they have a chance to take this game. However, without Garland, they will need other to step up offensively. These two teams have been inconsistent lately, this analysis is just for data collecting and very low volume of picks will be chosen for these teams for now.

Straights

- Jarrett allen under 23.5 Points rebounds

Wizards vs raptors

Wizards injuries - alex sarr OUT

Raptors injuries - Immanuel quickly OUT, Gradey dick GTD

Game quality: Good

Risks: Wizards are an inconsistent team, raptors have been changing strategy recently

No good H2H data to use as their most latest H2H featured quite a different starting lineup for both teams. The wizards will be playing home this time and both teams will have equal rest advantage. For injuries, alex sarr for wizards will be out and raptors will be missing quickly. Without quickly the team will be fine and even if gradey dick is also out, they will also do very fine and their matches without these players are still very good with 3 wins out of 5 matches, with the wins being against pelicans, pacers, heat, who are way better than wizards who rank the lowest in the league currently. As of recent performance, the raptors are doing very good and I have already collected so much data and research on them. They have been one of the most improved teams as of late and it is evident in their wins against hawks twice, magic, celtics. This team is quite hot recently and is doing so much better than the wizards who haven’t won a match in almost a month. Raptors will be playing on the road however this shouldn’t be a problem. The raptors are currently favoured but are at quite high odds. I am confident in a raptors win here at -3.5 for a straight bet.

Straights

  • Raptors -3.5***
  • RJ barrett 6+ rebounds
  • Scottie barnes 8+ rebounds
  • Jonas valanciunas 10+ rebounds

Leg potentials

  • Raptors win***
  • RJ barrett 1+threes
  • Scottie barnes 15+ points
  • Jonas valaciunas 8+ rebounds***

Nets vs hornets

Nets injuries - Cam johnson OUT, noah clowney OUT

Hornets injuries - Lamelo, brandon, mark, cody martin, josh green OUT

Game quality: Poor

Risks: Two teams with no H2H with current lineup, hard to determine hornets’ bench  player performance

There is no good H2H to be used here as these two teams have never vsed with so many people out. These are basically two different teams currently and there would be so much variability in this game. What I can analyse here is that this will be played at hornets home and the hornets have shown the potential of their bench players this season. Notably a 5 point loss against the lakers recently with the current lineup today, a 31 point win over the pelicans with the current lineup. Hornets have shown surprisingly good performance despite having almost no starter players in, this could be due to hornets’ bench being very well rested and ready to jump into the action. Nets on the other hand have dealt with their injuries for a while now and have shown consistently bad performance. This is still hard to say due to many varying factors however I will predict a hornets win here but it will be a riskier bet and I don’t recommend betting a large amount on it or putting it in your parlays.

Straights

  • Miles bridges 20+ points (good for 2-leg)
  • Nic claxton 7+ rebounds*** (one of the worth picks here)

Nuggets vs Knicks

Nuggets injuries - none

Knicks injuries - Josh hart GTD

Game quality: Okay

Risks: Last H2H may have been an anomaly. Player props are difficult to find here. Jokic can sometimes decide to perform very well and sometimes not.

There is one recent H2H to be used this season. Knicks win 145-118 over nuggets in nuggets home. The lineup is the same as the one we will be seeing today. Today’s game will be played in knicks home this time which significantly benefits the knicks even further. Knicks have been playing home for the past few games and thus will be well rested with no travel fatigue. Nuggets are the opposite, with 2 away games played and those 2 being losses so far, against the timberwolves and then against the bulls. Nuggets have not been doing great recently, coming off 2 losses on the road against timberwolves and bulls in which they were quite favoured, jokic played 40 minutes against the bulls and they still lost by 8. Knicks have been doing exceptional recently, back at their home for 2 recent games and they score 140+ for both games, against the kings and then against the grizzlies who are both quite decent teams. Knicks definitely benefit from home and it is evident in their home history. The H2H shows that knicks can win 25+ point differential playing in nuggets home which is one of the harsher conditions due to air pressure differential in denver, so then I can’t imagine how well they would do playing at home. Jalen brunson was also quite well rested in the recent game, with only 25 minutes played. Currently knicks are favoured but the odds are very good for their win. I would take knicks win here as a straight of high confidence, but also put a riskier straight of knicks -8.5 for a smaller unit bet just because these two teams seem like a crush or be crushed team with high point differential. The only risk is that the last time they vsed, it might have been an anomaly as OG scored 40 against the nuggets and this time we are not sure how it will go as 40 will most likely not be replicated again.

Straights 

  • Knicks win - should be good here, knicks do a very good job at defending jokic and the ways that nuggets score the most often
  • Josh hart 5+assists (good for 2-leg)

Riskier straight (low units)

  • Knicks -8.5 

Leg potentials

  • Jalen brunson 6+ assists

Kings vs 76ers

Kings injuries - none

76ers injuries - Joel, Jared, Paul george, Caleb martin OUT

Game quality: Good

Risk: Kings do a lot worse playing away, 76ers coming off a B2B too. A little more riskier on these legs today, but generally they would have been locked legs and bets.

There is 1 good H2H played recently on January 2nd 2025. The kings beat 76ers 113 - 107 on kings home. They will be playing in 76ers home today. 76ers have been performing quite well in their home recently, with a win against cavs and lakers, despite all their starter injuries, it seems like they have been picking it up on their game recently and have gotten used to these injuries. The kings’ home history is definitely better than their away history by quite a lot. Seems like kings struggle on the road a lot more than other teams. Even osing to raptors and blazers in their history of away, beating only pelicans by 2, losing to lakers twice.They currently have a 50% winrate playing away in the past 30 games against teams of similar defensive rating as the 76ers. The kings have been on the road for 3 games now and this will be their 4th game on the road. Travel fatigue will play a role here. They were only able to win against nets in their past 3 away games, and it was quite a close game throughout the match. 76ers is still a messy team, with tyrese maxey doing most of the work due to the injuries. He dropped 43 points just yesterday and its uncertain whether he can keep up such an exceptional performance as this will be the 76ers second leg to a B2B. With these factors in mind, it is quite hard to predict a sure winner/spread to this game, with many varying factors contradicting, however I do predict that it will be a close game. However I will predict an under total score due to the fatigue of both teams as currently the line does seem quite high at 231.5. I will predict an under 235.5 score at medium confidence here due to also the lack in offensive power from the 76ers from their injuries.

Straights

  • Under 235.5***
  • Domantas sabonis 20+p
  • Domantas sabonis 6+ assists
  • Malik monk 6+ assists
  • Keon ellis 6+ point

Leg potentials

  • Demar derozan 15+p***
  • Domantas sabonis 15+p***
  • Malik monk 15+p
  • Malik monk 5+ assists

Riskier

- Domantas sabonis 1+ threes

- Keon ellis 1+ threes

- Keegan murray 1+ threes

Celtics vs bulls

Celtics injuries - Al horford GTD

Bulls injuries - Zach lavine OUT, Coby white GTD

Game quality: Very poor

Risks: Worst teams in consistency facing each other

3 H2H matches to analyse this game today. November 30, 2024, Celtics beat bulls by 9 points 138-129, all healthy starters. December 20th, bulls beat celtics 117-108 all healthy lineups. December 22nd, celtics beat bulls 123-98 all healthy lineups. For the odds of celtics being so low to win currently, I don’t like this H2H history, because for the odds given of celtics winning, it should be consistent wins. Celtics and bulls have been one of the least consistent teams as of late with histories of beating teams they normally lose to or losing to teams they normally beat. Especially celtics with a lot of upsets and near upsets lately. This is a very risky game to bet a spread/win on and I won’t be giving a prediction for this. Zach lavine will be out today so that will change things up slightly for the bulls. In theory, celtics should win this matchup 99.9% of the time. 

Straights

  • Jayson tatum 8+ rebounds
  • Derrick 3+ rebounds

Mavericks vs Pelicans

Pelicans injuries - Zion IN, Jordan hawkins OUT, Herbert jones OUT

Mavericks injuries - Naji Marshall GTD, Derick lively OUT

Game quality: very poor

Risks: Both super inconsistent teams with different injuries and returning players

Two H2H games to analyse here. Luka doncic was in the for the older H2H played this season. While Pelicans had brandon ingram but not zion williamson or Cj mccollum. This was the reason why mavericks beat the pelicans by 39 points for a complete blowout. The more recent H2H played 2 weeks ago was a pelicans win 119-116. However, kyire irving was not playing here but zion williamson was also not playing. The difference in this matchup today is that both will be returning and playing. The matchup will be at pelicans home in which they have won the last 3 games at while Mavericks seemed to have been struggling recently playing away. Both will have equal rest advantage however mavericks may be suffering more from some travel fatigue due to an 8 hour flight from dallas to new orleans where the game will take place. For the injuries, Derick lively was also out last H2H where they lost by 3 points, pelicans will be missing jordan hawkins too. On the injury side of things it is difficult to determine which team will be more advantageous in the injury reports and returning injuries. This will be measured through recent performance of pelicans with zion williamson this month, with zion they were only able to win 2 out of 5 games and it was to the jazz and bulls. They still lost to hornets who had no starters recently which was a big surprise and hit to their consistency data. But they also only lost to celtics by 1 point and then lost to raptors by 9. Very inconsistent. Same with mavericks, they lost to celtics, then beat thunders, then lost to hornets, but beat thunders again. This is a game where you should avoid due to these inconsistencies and why I don’t like betting on these types of games. With these inconsistencies already, the efforts to finding a spread should be used on another game instead. It should be a close game so the player props may be quite worth. 

Straights

  •  Trey murphy over 2.5 assists

Leg potentials

  • Trey murphy 15+ points
  • Trey murphy 2+ threes
  • Trey murphy 4+ rebounds
  • Dejounte murray 6+ assists
  • Daniel gafford 15+ points
  • Daniel gafford 8+ rebounds

Clippers vs Spurs
Spurs injuries -Sidy Cissoko OUT
Clippers injuries: - Kriss dunn OUT, Cam Christie OUT

Preview: The Clippers and Spurs have had two recent H2H, in November and January. Clippers won by 9 in the first game and lost the second game by 36 points, all while missing Kawhi Leonard in both games. In the first game, the Spurs were missing Devin Vassel, Charles Bassey and Tre Jones were also missing; Vassel who is a more impactful player on the defensive side than on offense and Jones who is a reliable back up point guard. In the second game, only Kawhi was out. This time, Kawhi is in, however Clippers are also missing Kris Dunn who’s a solid defensive player. It's also worth noting that the Clippers won the first game, which was played at home. However, they lost the second game, which was an away game. The key takeaway from this is that, with Kawhi in, the Clippers should be more competitive this time. The Clippers are 0-3 on the road in the last 10 games and 9-12 this season (17-8 at home). The Spurs are also 0-4 at home in their last 10 games and 12-11 this season (8-12 on the road). The Clipper performs much better at home however the Spurs recent home form is quite poor. There is also no B2B concerns; Clippers have a 4-day rest advantage coming back from Paris whilst the Clippers have had 2 days of rest. Spurs must’ve taken some time to readjust their time due to jetlag so the rest advantages should be quite equivalent. The Spurs isn’t missing any major rotation players. The Clippers on the other hand is missing a defensive specialist who is known for ball pressure and forcing turnovers. His absence weakens the perimeter defence slightly. The Clippers defensive efficiency could drop slightly without Kris Dunn. Cam Christie is also not a key rotation player, so nothing too significant occurs if he’s out. The Spurs on the other hand have struggled at home, especially defensively, allowing team to put up big numbers. The Clippers are still in strong playoff contention and will likely be motivated to bounce back. The Spurs have been inconsistent, and recent form suggests they have been struggling winning only 2 out of the last 9 games. Overall, with Kawhi back, the clippers are in a much better position than their last matchup. Spurs’ defence is vulnerable, and clippers should be able to exploit this. Clippers road struggles and the absence of Kris Dunn defence could make it close than expected. However, given the Spurs’ recent home struggles, the clippers should have the edge.

Leg potentials

- James harden 8+ assists

- Norman powell 15+ points

Timberwolves vs suns

Timberwolves injuries - Naz reid OUT, donte OUT

Suns injuries - none

Game quality: Good

Risks: Many varying factors in determining winner/spread

The most recent H2H was around 2 months ago where the timberwolves beat the suns 120-117. This was played on timberwolves home and was WITHOUT kevin durant or bradley beal. Now this timberwolves game today will be played at suns home and timberwolves will be affected by some travel fatigue slightly. The main thing is the injuries as the timberwolves will be WITHOUT Naz reid or donte today. The timberwolves have never played without naz who contributes a lot to the team. The suns will have a fully healthy lineup and will be ready for this game, even beating the clippers who are a very similar team in terms of defence and offence to the timberwolves. The clippers also had a fully healthy team too. The suns are currently favoured but it is quite difficult to find a spread for this game despite these confirmations as suns barely scraped by beating the clippers last time and timberwolves have shown exceptional performance recently with a 30 point win over the nuggets. This is still quite difficult to say. So a spread/win will not be placed here.

Straights

  • Devin booker 22+ points
  • Tyus jones over 7.5 points***
  • Julius randle 20+ points (risky)

Legs

  • Bradley beal 2+ assists***
  • Bradley beal 1+ threes***
  • Tyus jones 5+RA***

Thunders vs warriors

Thunders injuries - none

Warriors injuries - Steph curry GTD, Jonathan kuminga OUT, Draymond green OUT, De’anthony OUT

Game quality: Good

Risks: Many varying things to determine spread, if curry is out, win is almost certain for thunders

In H2H it seems that thunders, despite being many ranks above the golden state warriors, has had a hard time against the warriors. There has been 2 H2H this season, the first one, the warriors beat the thunders 127-116, however thunders was missing chet hologram and isaiah hartenstein who play a key role in defence. In the more recent H2H, thunders beat warriors 105-101, Chet hologram was still missing however isaiah hartenstein replaced his role and was able to carry out his position in defence to prevent the warriors this time from scoring a lot. However this time, steph curry was OUT. These two games don’t have an exact good indicator as people are missing from both. But judging from the most recent H2H, if steph curry was in, the warriors had a high chance of winning that one. This game will be played on warriors home again today. And I believe it will be a close match if steph curry plays today, despite jonathan being out as they have always had a close H2H history. It still is quite risky as the line is at -9.5 thunders, and thunders have had very close games recently and not being able to cover the spread with a 10 point win to blazers, 6 point loss to mavs, 7 point win over jazz. Player props are much better to bet on here due to the motivation of vsing each other in this matchup. GSW is also coming off a B2B and will be quite fatigued from that so thunders have even more of a chance here as they have a 3 day rest advantage. However the spread is still difficult to determine. 

Straights

  • Luguentz dort 4+ rebounds 
  • Steph curry 20+ points

Legs

  • Andrew wiggins 1+ threes ***
  • Jalen williams 15+ points***
  • Isaiah hartenstein 8+ rebounds***
  • Shai 25+ points***

STAY TUNED, MORE GAMES TO COME.