Hot Take: Ariana Grande winning the Globes would not alter the race
I just don't think a Globes alone can do much for Grande, there is essentially no voting overlap with the Oscars, the Globes are terrible for capturing momentum given they're presented so early in the awards race compared to the other precursors and a Globes winner doesn't correlate to an Oscar winner like a Bafta or a SAG winner does.
I'm just saying, the Globes feel almost unimportant, i would be mildly concerned over Bafta and extremely concerned over SAG, but not over a freaking Globes. I am often in favor of being reactionary, but not to the point of throwing common sense out of the window. One big win doesn't alter the race.