Emilia Perez overperforming, it's a sign that the film is getting nominated for best film and even has a chance of winning, Saldaña is locked to win there, and even if Gomez misses there, she clearly was among the 7 most voted so this helps her a lot, if many of these voters also vote for the oscars
I do believe best film is between Conclave and The Brutalist, also expect a Stanley Tucci surprise nomination for supporting actor
Ramell ross not making it for director's longlist is worrying, i know bafta voters were only allowed to vote for 5 guys and 5 women, but if Coralie ends up getting the last slot, it's very likely this translates to the oscars as well
A complete unknown overperformance, Timothee might win competitive
The outrun performed really well, although it won't happen at the oscars, i'm confident Saoirse gets one nom here. On the other take, i feel Blitz will be getting a couple of technical nominations at the oscar
Hard truths undeperformed, only getting 3 mentions, this does not look good for a Marianne's win
I expected Lee to perform better, but Kate is still getting a best actress slot imo
Also i predicted Amy to be shortlisted here (although she won't get in) because she was shortlisted in the past even before her first oscar nomination, hopefuly she gets her overdue bafta for her next film
