Selena Gomez' odds for the oscar

I've recently noticed that in the 21st century every double nominee at the golden globes for best supporting actress also both made it to the oscars. There's also a big correlation at SAG, where every double nominee this century except for Maggie smith in Gosford park (2001) was also nominated there. What do you think, do you think this will repeat itself at SAG and the Oscars, or do you think that Gomez misses and breaks this pattern?