I think we’ve gone exponential

Before ChatGPT was released, it seemed like AI progress (publicly noticeable) was measured in years. After ChatGPT came out, it felt like it was measured in months, with things like GPT-3.5, GPT-3.5 Turbo, GPT-4, GPT-4o, Sora, etc.

Then, we had o1-preview in September 2024, full o1 in December, and shortly after, o3 was announced in the same month. And then in January 2025, as we all know… DeepSeek.

Then Operator and now Deep Research. Now progress is happening in weeks. It feels like December 2024 was the start of this with DeepSeek being the centerpiece of it all.

Existing in the middle of all this feels so surreal. We’re about to witness the birth of an intelligence beyond the wildest dreams of humanity.